Archive for technology

I’m Sorry Sir, You’re Obsolete

Is the rate of obsolescence proportionate to the rate of technologyadvances?

ihome.jpg

Afew years ago, those little iHome alarm clocksstarted to appear in hotel rooms. Cool gadgets that you could mount your mobilephone to battery charge or play the music on the device. We also had a few in ourhome. They worked perfectly for the iPhone4 since the connector was that 1 inchprotruding plug. When I got the iPhone6, those clocks instantly became useless.Obsolete. At least the phone connector part lost its value.

I’ve been thinking about this for a while.

The rate of obsolescence. The state when an object,technology, service or practice is no longer needed or wanted…even though itstill may be in good working order. E-waste is the fastestgrowing segment of the waste stream. With the technological advances, notonly are we buying the latest and greatest electronics but we’re also dumpingperfectly good, working devices at silly rates. There was even a story about a CentralPark mugger who rejected a flip phone during a heist.

Sure, the new gadget is shiny, faster, better or does stuff the other onecouldn’t. All commercial things have the typical emerging, growth, maturity anddecline model and I started wondering if the rate of obsolescence isproportionate to the rate of technology advances.

Moore’s Law and Wright’s Law are generally regarded as the bestformulas for predicting how rapidly technology will advance. They offerapproximations of the pace of technological progress. Moore’s Law (1965)describes the rate of improvement in the power of computer chips –essentially, the number of components doubles every 18 months. Generally,the principle can be applied to any technology and says that, depending on thetechnology, the rate of improvement will increase exponentially over time.

Wright’s Law (1936),says that progress increases with experience. Meaning that each percentincrease in cumulative production (in a given industry) results in a fixedpercentage improvement in production efficiency.

A simple web search of ‘rate of technological advancement’returns scores of images that show a huge ramp going up.

rate_of_advancement.jpg

But is there the same rapid decline chart for ‘out of date, lostfreshness’ technologies gone by?

Nothing with a laptop falling off a cliff but there are certainly chartsshowing the rate of e-waste.

e-waste-management-17-728.jpg

The climb is not as dramatic as technology advances (yet) but itis still growing rapidly.

So there doesn’t seem to be (or I simply can’t find it) a direct correlationor chart that incorporates both technology advances and resulting obsoleteness.There are plenty of articles that do cover thingsthat will be obsolete in the next few years (DVD players, landlines, clockradios); the jobsthat will be obsolete (travel agent, taxi driver); and the things thatbecame obsoleteover the last decade.

There is a patent, US7949581B2, which describes a method of determining an obsolescence rate of atechnology yet that looks more at the life of a technology patent and itseventual decay and depreciation rate. Less citations over the years means patentdecay. This is more about the depreciation of a specific patent rather than howsociety embraces and then ultimately tosses the technology.

The funny thing is that nowadays vintage items and antiquesseem to be hot markets. Nostalgia is a big seller. Longing for the simplertimes I guess.

And lastly, the rate of WorldIQ over time. Is there a connection with technology?

world_IQ_over_time.png

If you feel your infrastructure is becoming obsolete with all thatcloudy talk, F5 cancertainly help by providing the critical application delivery servicesconsistently across all your data centers - private clouds, publicclouds, and hybrid deployments - so you can enjoy the same availability,security and performance you've come to expect.

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E-waste image courtesy: www.slideshare.net/SuharshHarsha

World IQ image courtesy: http://uhaweb.hartford.edu/BRBAKER/




TechEd2013 – The Video Outtakes

Posted in , f5, big-ip, silva, video, microsoft, fun, technology by psilva on June 7th, 2013

The bloops, cuts, laughs, mistakes and outtakes from #MSTechEd 2013. We’re all human.

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TechEd2013 – That’s a Wrap

Posted in f5, big-ip, silva, video, microsoft, application delivery, technology by psilva on June 6th, 2013

I wrap it up from the Microsoft TechEd North America 2013 Conference. Special thanks to Jeff Bellamy, Greg Coward, Ryan Korock and Phil Simpson along with my camera operators Courtney, Natasha and Robert. Reporting from New Orleans, thanks for watching!

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TechEd2013 – Gimme 90 Seconds Betcha Didn’t Know Edition (feat. Simpson)

Posted in f5, big-ip, silva, video, microsoft, application delivery, fun, technology by psilva on June 5th, 2013

The coolest trade show game show is back! F5 Business Development Manager Phil Simpson tests his F5 knowledge in this special ‘Betcha Didn’t Know’ Edition. When people hear of the many BIG-IP capabilities their response is often, ‘I didn’t know you could do that!’ Let’s see if Phil can win the limited edition psilva autographed F5 ball by sharing some unique BIG-IP features that you may not have known about. These are always fun.

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TechEd2013 – NVGRE with Microsoft’s System Center 2012 VMM (feat. Korock)

After resisting for over 3 years, F5 Technical Director Ryan Korock finally joins me on camera to discuss the new NVGRE solution. This new solution—along with F5’s broader solution set—aims to help customers assure reliable performance regardless of how individual organizations choose to architect their systems. Through integration with Microsoft’s System Center 2012 Virtual Machine Manager, the F5 solution will dynamically serve as a bridge between customers’ virtualized and non-virtualized environments. F5 solutions can augment Windows Server 2012 Hyper-V Network Virtualization environments, providing notable benefits for organizations deploying Microsoft and F5 technologies in concert, including cloud and service providers.

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TechEd2013 – The Top 5 Questions

Posted in f5, big-ip, application security, silva, video, microsoft, application delivery, technology by psilva on June 4th, 2013

I review the top 5 questions being asked in booth 816 at #MSTechEd 2013. Azure, NVGRE and TMG all make the list. There is a surprise at #5 but not to those of us in the booth. :-)

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TechEd2013 – Network Virtualization & Cloud Solutions

Posted in f5, big-ip, cloud computing, silva, video, microsoft, application delivery, technology, azure, hyper-v by psilva on June 3rd, 2013

I chat with Jeff Bellamy, F5 Director Business Development, about the new F5 network virtualization and cloud solutions announced at Microsoft’s North America TechEd.  We discuss the F5/Microsoft Partnership along with the benefits customers realize in combining F5 application delivery services with the flexibility of Microsoft Windows Server 2012 and System Center 2012 offerings.  F5 technologies are featured in a number of conference activities, including speaking presentations from Microsoft and demonstrations of how enterprises and service providers can rapidly and efficiently scale network and cloud resources to support their IT initiatives without compromise.

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TechEd2013 – Find F5

Posted in f5, big-ip, silva, video, microsoft, application delivery, technology by psilva on June 3rd, 2013

I show you how to find F5 Booth 816 at the Microsoft TechEd North America 2013 Conference and even juggle a few F5 squeeze balls just for you. Reporting from the New Orleans Convention Center.

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